Language:English
Atletico Mineiro v Grêmio
Head to Head
Atletico Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 53.09%1.88fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.16%53.00%52.77%54.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.741.751.8260.98%57.41%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grêmio (Visit)
Prediction 20.24%4.94fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -0.681%
Kelly -0.861%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.78%20.32%20.11%21.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.474.504.7825.00%22.39%22.22%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.67%3.75fair odd
EV -0.001%
Edge -0.000%
Kelly -0.000%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%26.68%27.12%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.403.7531.75%29.25%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atletico Mineiro (Local): 53.09%; Grêmio (Visit): 20.24%; Draw: 26.67%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75002. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75000, with an expected value of -0.001%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.77%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.09%EV -3.25%E -0.681%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.13%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -3.86%E -0.813%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:00 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.49%E -3.09%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.36%EV -4.87%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.87%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.49%E -3.09%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -8.92%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -5.88%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -8.27%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 13:53 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -6.56%E -3.72%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -6.90%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.33%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -8.92%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.92%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.33%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 15:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.68%E -5.05%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.87%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.68%E -5.05%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.87%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -6.90%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -4.00%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.38%EV -10.80%E -6.43%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -14.99%E -3.57%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.00%EV -11.33%E -6.79%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.43%EV -13.98%E -3.29%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -16.00%E -5.08%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -11.33%E -6.79%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -19.04%E -4.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -13.33%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.20%EV -11.86%E -7.15%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.14%EV -17.02%E -4.15%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -13.33%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.54%EV -12.93%E -7.88%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.28%EV -13.98%E -3.29%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.18%EV -15.47%E -4.88%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-08-02 14:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.77% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.92% | 17.4% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |