Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.15
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atletico Mineiro (Local): 54.11%; Grêmio (Visitante): 19.50%; Empate: 26.39%. Para Grêmio (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.13. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.15, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.410%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.94%EV -0.175%E -0.034%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV -2.61%E -0.706%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -0.565%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -8.56%E -5.06%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.69%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.15%EV -2.71%E -0.543%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.09%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -4.46%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.18%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -5.44%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -5.44%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.98%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.49%EV -12.88%E -8.00%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.34%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.34%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV +0.101%E +0.055%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV +0.101%E +0.055%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 18:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.75%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -17.14%E -4.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 18:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.43%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -20.06%E -4.89%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -20.06%E -4.89%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 18:39 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.60% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.61% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.79% | -0.5% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.28% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.65% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.52% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.83% | 2.7% | 2026-08-16 18:30 |