Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atletico Mineiro v Grêmio

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 19:00 UTC

Score final : Atletico Mineiro 3–0 Grêmio

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Prévision 54.11%1.85cote équitable
EV +0.101%
Avantage +0.055%
Kelly +0.119%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.42%54.02%54.14%55.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.741.731.8562.11%57.53%57.64%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Grêmio (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.50%5.13cote équitable
EV +0.410%
Avantage +0.080%
Kelly +0.099%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.61%19.53%19.54%21.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.674.755.1524.39%21.43%21.05%19.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.39%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.706%
Kelly -0.969%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.57%26.45%26.31%27.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.503.503.6930.30%28.58%28.57%27.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atletico Mineiro (Local) : 54.11% ; Grêmio (Visiteur) : 19.50% ; Match nul : 26.39%. Pour Grêmio (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.13. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.15, soit une espérance positive de +0.410%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:50
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:49
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.94%EV -0.175%E -0.034%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV -2.61%E -0.706%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -0.565%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -8.56%E -5.06%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:29
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:50
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.69%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.15%EV -2.71%E -0.543%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.09%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -4.46%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.18%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -5.44%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -5.44%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:53
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.98%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 18:34
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.49%EV -12.88%E -8.00%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:20
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:54
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 18:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 18:54
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.34%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.34%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV +0.101%E +0.055%K +0.119%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV +0.101%E +0.055%K +0.119%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 18:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 18:54
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.75%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 18:25
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 18:24
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -17.14%E -4.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.43%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -20.06%E -4.89%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -20.06%E -4.89%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.60%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.79%-0.5%2026-08-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-16 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-16 18:55
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.28%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.65%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.52%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.83%2.7%2026-08-16 18:30