StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atletico Mineiro v Grêmio

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Atletico Mineiro 3–0 Grêmio

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atletico Mineiro (Hemma)

Prognos 54.11%1.85rättvist odds
EV +0.101%
Fördel +0.055%
Kelly +0.119%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.42%54.02%54.14%55.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.611.741.731.8562.11%57.53%57.64%54.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Grêmio (Borta)

Prognos 19.50%5.13rättvist odds
EV +0.410%
Fördel +0.080%
Kelly +0.099%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.61%19.53%19.54%21.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.104.674.755.1524.39%21.43%21.05%19.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.39%3.79rättvist odds
EV -2.61%
Fördel -0.706%
Kelly -0.969%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.57%26.45%26.31%27.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.503.503.6930.30%28.58%28.57%27.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Atletico Mineiro (Hemma): 54.11%; Grêmio (Borta): 19.50%; Oavgjort: 26.39%. För Grêmio (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.13. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.15, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.410%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:50
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:49
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.94%EV -0.175%E -0.034%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV -2.61%E -0.706%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -0.565%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -8.56%E -5.06%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:29
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:50
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.69%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.15%EV -2.71%E -0.543%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.09%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -4.46%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.18%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -5.44%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -5.44%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:53
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.98%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 18:34
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.49%EV -12.88%E -8.00%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:20
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:54
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 18:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 18:54
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.34%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.34%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV +0.101%E +0.055%K +0.119%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV +0.101%E +0.055%K +0.119%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 18:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 18:54
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.75%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 18:25
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 18:24
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -17.14%E -4.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.43%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -20.06%E -4.89%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -20.06%E -4.89%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 18:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.60%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.79%-0.5%2026-08-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-16 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-16 18:55
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.28%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.65%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.52%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.83%2.7%2026-08-16 18:30