Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atletico Mineiro v Grêmio

Inizio: 2026-08-16 19:00 UTC

Finale: Atletico Mineiro 3–0 Grêmio

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atletico Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 54.11%1.85quota equa
EV +0.101%
Vantaggio +0.055%
Kelly +0.119%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.42%54.02%54.14%55.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.741.731.8562.11%57.53%57.64%54.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Grêmio (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.50%5.13quota equa
EV +0.410%
Vantaggio +0.080%
Kelly +0.099%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.61%19.53%19.54%21.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.674.755.1524.39%21.43%21.05%19.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.39%3.79quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -0.706%
Kelly -0.969%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.57%26.45%26.31%27.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.503.503.6930.30%28.58%28.57%27.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Atletico Mineiro (Casa): 54.11%; Grêmio (Trasferta): 19.50%; Pareggio: 26.39%. Per Grêmio (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.13. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.15, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.410%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:50
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.76%EV +0.410%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 18:49
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.94%EV -0.175%E -0.034%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV -2.61%E -0.706%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -0.565%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -8.56%E -5.06%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:29
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.51%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:50
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.69%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.15%EV -2.71%E -0.543%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.09%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -4.46%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.18%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -5.44%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -5.44%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:53
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.98%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 18:34
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.49%EV -12.88%E -8.00%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:20
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:54
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 18:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 18:54
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.34%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.34%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV +0.101%E +0.055%K +0.119%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV +0.101%E +0.055%K +0.119%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 18:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 18:54
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.75%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 18:25
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 18:24
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -17.14%E -4.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.43%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -5.31%E -3.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -18.11%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -20.06%E -4.89%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -20.06%E -4.89%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 18:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.60%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.79%-0.5%2026-08-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-16 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-16 18:55
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.28%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-08-16 18:55
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.65%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.52%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.83%2.7%2026-08-16 18:30