StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Union Saint-Gilloise v Lommel SK

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 18:47 UTC

Slutresultat: Union Saint-Gilloise 5–0 Lommel SK

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Union Saint-Gilloise (Hemma)

Prognos 75.37%1.33rättvist odds
EV -2.77%
Fördel -2.15%
Kelly -9.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
72.73%75.30%75.28%78.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.171.221.221.2985.47%81.69%81.97%77.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lommel SK (Borta)

Prognos 9.09%11.01rättvist odds
EV +18.12%
Fördel +1.39%
Kelly +1.51%
Tillväxt +0.274%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.28%9.10%9.22%11.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.0010.5110.0013.0012.50%9.52%10.00%7.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 15.54%6.43rättvist odds
EV +4.92%
Fördel +0.730%
Kelly +0.856%
Tillväxt +0.042%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.27%15.60%15.50%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.005.976.006.7520.00%16.76%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Union Saint-Gilloise (Hemma): 75.37%; Lommel SK (Borta): 9.09%; Oavgjort: 15.54%. För Lommel SK (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 11.01. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 13.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +18.12%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +4.92%E +0.730%K +0.856%G +0.042%3.8%2026-09-12 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +4.92%E +0.730%K +0.856%G +0.042%3.8%2026-09-12 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002%5.7%2026-09-12 18:30
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +13.57%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.160%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -19.17%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +13.57%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.160%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -19.17%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.1%2026-09-12 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:30
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:35
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 18:35
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -2.85%E -0.456%K -0.542%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.51%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%10.96I 9.12%NM 8.73%EV -0.419%E -0.038%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.76%EV +0.728%E +0.112%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.6%2026-09-12 18:31
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -4.60%E -0.438%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.60%E -0.438%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -5.18%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:31
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.84%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.58%EV -4.40%E -0.716%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 18:35
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:30
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:35
Suprabets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:33
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:35
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:30
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -22.28%E -4.46%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.42%EV -11.82%E -10.10%K -69.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -12.95%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -11.82%E -10.10%K -69.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-12 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -13.68%E -1.44%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -13.68%E -1.44%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -15.96%E -1.72%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.61%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.68%EV -15.96%E -1.72%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -11.40%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.20%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -18.23%E -2.03%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -12.95%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 18:31
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.40%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.92%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.15%EV -20.50%E -2.34%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.45%EV -16.06%E -2.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -22.77%E -2.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -27.31%E -3.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.30%EV -8.29%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 18:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.59%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%0.7%2026-09-12 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.59%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%0.7%2026-09-12 18:40
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%1.1%2026-09-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-09-12 18:40
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-09-12 18:40
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.65%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.53%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%2.2%2026-09-12 18:40