Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.29
avec la cote maximale 13.00
avec la cote maximale 6.75
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Union Saint-Gilloise (Local) : 75.37% ; Lommel SK (Visiteur) : 9.09% ; Match nul : 15.54%. Pour Lommel SK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.01. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.00, soit une espérance positive de +18.12%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +4.92%E +0.730%K +0.856%G +0.042% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +4.92%E +0.730%K +0.856%G +0.042% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +13.57%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.160% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -19.17%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +13.57%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.160% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -19.17%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -2.85%E -0.456%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.51%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 10.96I 9.12%NM 8.73%EV -0.419%E -0.038%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.76%EV +0.728%E +0.112%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -4.60%E -0.438%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.60%E -0.438%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -5.18%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.84%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.58%EV -4.40%E -0.716%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-12 18:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -22.28%E -4.46%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.42%EV -11.82%E -10.10%K -69.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -12.95%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -11.82%E -10.10%K -69.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -13.68%E -1.44%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -13.68%E -1.44%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -15.96%E -1.72%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.61%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.68%EV -15.96%E -1.72%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -11.40%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.20%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -18.23%E -2.03%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -12.95%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.40%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.15%EV -20.50%E -2.34%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.45%EV -16.06%E -2.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -22.77%E -2.68%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -27.31%E -3.41%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.30%EV -8.29%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.59% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.59% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.65% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.53% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82% | 2.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |