Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Union Saint-Gilloise (Local): 75.37%; Lommel SK (Visitante): 9.09%; Empate: 15.54%. Para Lommel SK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 11.01. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 13.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +18.12%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +4.92%E +0.730%K +0.856%G +0.042% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +4.92%E +0.730%K +0.856%G +0.042% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +13.57%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.160% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -19.17%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +13.57%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.160% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -19.17%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -2.85%E -0.456%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.51%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 10.96I 9.12%NM 8.73%EV -0.419%E -0.038%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.76%EV +0.728%E +0.112%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -4.60%E -0.438%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.60%E -0.438%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -5.18%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.84%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.58%EV -4.40%E -0.716%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-12 18:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -22.28%E -4.46%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.42%EV -11.82%E -10.10%K -69.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -12.95%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -11.82%E -10.10%K -69.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -13.68%E -1.44%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -13.68%E -1.44%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -15.96%E -1.72%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.61%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.68%EV -15.96%E -1.72%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -11.40%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.20%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -18.23%E -2.03%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -12.95%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.40%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.15%EV -20.50%E -2.34%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.45%EV -16.06%E -2.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -22.77%E -2.68%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -27.31%E -3.41%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.30%EV -8.29%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.59% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.59% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.65% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.53% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82% | 2.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |