Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Union Saint-Gilloise v Lommel SK

Początek: 2026-09-12 18:47 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Union Saint-Gilloise 5–0 Lommel SK

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Union Saint-Gilloise (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 75.37%1.33kurs godziwy
EV -2.77%
Przewaga -2.15%
Kelly -9.56%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.29

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.73%75.30%75.28%78.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.171.221.221.2985.47%81.69%81.97%77.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Lommel SK (Goście)

Prognoza 9.09%11.01kurs godziwy
EV +18.12%
Przewaga +1.39%
Kelly +1.51%
Wzrost +0.274%

przy maksymalnym kursie 13.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
7.28%9.10%9.22%11.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
8.0010.5110.0013.0012.50%9.52%10.00%7.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 15.54%6.43kurs godziwy
EV +4.92%
Przewaga +0.730%
Kelly +0.856%
Wzrost +0.042%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.27%15.60%15.50%18.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.005.976.006.7520.00%16.76%16.67%14.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Union Saint-Gilloise (Gospodarze): 75.37%; Lommel SK (Goście): 9.09%; Remis: 15.54%. Dla wyniku Lommel SK (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 11.01. 10 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 13.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +18.12%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +4.92%E +0.730%K +0.856%G +0.042%3.8%2026-09-12 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +4.92%E +0.730%K +0.856%G +0.042%3.8%2026-09-12 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +18.12%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.274%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002%5.7%2026-09-12 18:30
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +13.57%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.160%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -19.17%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +13.57%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.160%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -19.17%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.1%2026-09-12 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:30
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +9.03%E +0.753%K +0.821%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.516%E -0.081%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV +1.04%E +0.160%K +0.189%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:35
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 18:35
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.31%E -8.66%K -54.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -2.85%E -0.456%K -0.542%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.055%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.51%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%10.96I 9.12%NM 8.73%EV -0.419%E -0.038%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.76%EV +0.728%E +0.112%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.6%2026-09-12 18:31
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -4.60%E -0.438%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.60%E -0.438%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -5.18%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:31
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.84%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.58%EV -4.40%E -0.716%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 18:35
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -10.62%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.03%E -4.00%K -19.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:30
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:35
Suprabets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:33
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:35
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:30
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -5.79%E -4.63%K -23.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -22.28%E -4.46%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.06%E -9.38%K -61.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.42%EV -11.82%E -10.10%K -69.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -12.95%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -11.82%E -10.10%K -69.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -9.14%E -0.914%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-12 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.05%E -6.60%K -36.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -13.68%E -1.44%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -13.68%E -1.44%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -3.53%E -2.76%K -12.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -15.96%E -1.72%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -14.51%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.61%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.68%EV -15.96%E -1.72%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -11.40%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.55%EV -6.54%E -5.28%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -16.41%E -1.78%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.20%EV -9.56%E -7.96%K -47.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -18.23%E -2.03%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -12.95%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 18:31
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.40%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.92%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.15%EV -20.50%E -2.34%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.45%EV -16.06%E -2.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -22.77%E -2.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.73%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.41%EV -7.30%E -5.93%K -31.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -27.31%E -3.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.30%EV -8.29%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 18:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.59%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%0.7%2026-09-12 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.59%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%0.7%2026-09-12 18:40
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%1.1%2026-09-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-09-12 18:40
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-09-12 18:40
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.65%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.53%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%2.2%2026-09-12 18:40