Language:English
KV Mechelen v Standard Liege
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KV Mechelen (Local)
Prediction 33.99%2.94fair odd
EV +1.98%
Edge +0.659%
Kelly +0.989%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.34%34.14%34.12%36.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.682.653.0040.82%37.31%37.74%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Standard Liege (Visit)
Prediction 36.49%2.74fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +0.773%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.42%36.32%36.42%38.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.552.8041.67%38.90%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -0.991%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.48%29.54%29.46%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.133.153.3135.09%31.99%31.75%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KV Mechelen (Local): 33.99%; Standard Liege (Visit): 36.49%; Draw: 29.52%. For Standard Liege (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV +2.16%E +0.773%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV +2.16%E +0.773%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV +0.340%E +0.124%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -5.16%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -0.025%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -4.65%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.07%EV -8.19%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:16 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -4.04%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -15.70%E -6.33%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:22 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -16.72%E -6.82%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -16.72%E -6.82%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.34%EV +1.98%E +0.659%K +0.989%G +0.020% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.35%EV -7.69%E -3.04%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.31%EV -2.29%E -0.691%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.99%EV -3.80%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.90%EV -7.69%E -3.04%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -2.10%E -0.730%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.44%E -0.851%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.44%E -0.851%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.81%EV -5.84%E -2.11%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -10.85%E -3.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.39%EV -9.24%E -3.46%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.92%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.32%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -15.87%E -5.57%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.87% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.83% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |