Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: KV Mechelen (Local): 33.99%; Standard Liege (Visitante): 36.49%; Empate: 29.52%. Para Standard Liege (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.74. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.16%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV +2.16%E +0.773%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV +2.16%E +0.773%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV +0.340%E +0.124%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -5.16%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -0.025%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -4.65%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.07%EV -8.19%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:16 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -4.04%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -15.70%E -6.33%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:22 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -16.72%E -6.82%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -16.72%E -6.82%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.34%EV +1.98%E +0.659%K +0.989%G +0.020% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.35%EV -7.69%E -3.04%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.31%EV -2.29%E -0.691%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.99%EV -3.80%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.90%EV -7.69%E -3.04%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -2.10%E -0.730%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.44%E -0.851%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.44%E -0.851%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.81%EV -5.84%E -2.11%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -10.85%E -3.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.39%EV -9.24%E -3.46%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.92%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.32%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -15.87%E -5.57%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.87% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.83% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |