语言:简体中文
KV Mechelen v Standard Liege
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
KV Mechelen (主队)
预测 33.99%2.94公平赔率
EV +1.98%
优势 +0.659%
Kelly +0.989%
增长率 +0.020%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
32.34%34.14%34.12%36.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.682.653.0040.82%37.31%37.74%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Standard Liege (客队)
预测 36.49%2.74公平赔率
EV +2.16%
优势 +0.773%
Kelly +1.20%
增长率 +0.026%
假设最高赔率为 2.80
博彩公司预测分布
34.42%36.32%36.42%38.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.572.552.8041.67%38.90%39.22%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.52%3.39公平赔率
EV -2.29%
优势 -0.691%
Kelly -0.991%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.31
博彩公司预测分布
28.48%29.54%29.46%31.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.133.153.3135.09%31.99%31.75%30.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：KV Mechelen (主队)：33.99%；Standard Liege (客队)：36.49%；平局：29.52%。 对于“Standard Liege (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.74。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.80，对应+2.16%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV +2.16%E +0.773%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV +2.16%E +0.773%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV +0.340%E +0.124%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -5.16%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -0.025%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -4.65%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.07%EV -8.19%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:16 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -4.04%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -15.70%E -6.33%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:22 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -16.72%E -6.82%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -16.72%E -6.82%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.34%EV +1.98%E +0.659%K +0.989%G +0.020% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.35%EV -7.69%E -3.04%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.31%EV -2.29%E -0.691%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.99%EV -3.80%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.90%EV -7.69%E -3.04%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -2.10%E -0.730%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.44%E -0.851%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.44%E -0.851%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.81%EV -5.84%E -2.11%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -10.85%E -3.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.39%EV -9.24%E -3.46%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.92%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.32%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -15.87%E -5.57%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.87% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.83% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |