Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

KV Mechelen v Standard Liege

Początek: 2026-08-16 16:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: KV Mechelen 3–3 Standard Liege

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

KV Mechelen (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 33.99%2.94kurs godziwy
EV +1.98%
Przewaga +0.659%
Kelly +0.989%
Wzrost +0.020%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.34%34.14%34.12%36.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.452.682.653.0040.82%37.31%37.74%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Standard Liege (Goście)

Prognoza 36.49%2.74kurs godziwy
EV +2.16%
Przewaga +0.773%
Kelly +1.20%
Wzrost +0.026%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.42%36.32%36.42%38.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.572.552.8041.67%38.90%39.22%35.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.52%3.39kurs godziwy
EV -2.29%
Przewaga -0.691%
Kelly -0.991%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.31

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.48%29.54%29.46%31.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.853.133.153.3135.09%31.99%31.75%30.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: KV Mechelen (Gospodarze): 33.99%; Standard Liege (Goście): 36.49%; Remis: 29.52%. Dla wyniku Standard Liege (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.74. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.80, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.16%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV +2.16%E +0.773%K +1.20%G +0.026%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV +2.16%E +0.773%K +1.20%G +0.026%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV +0.340%E +0.124%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:59
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -5.16%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -0.025%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -4.65%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 15:45
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 15:49
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 15:59
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 16:00
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 15:59
Suprabets🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.07%EV -8.19%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:16
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -4.04%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:25
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:24
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:14
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 15:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 15:59
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -15.70%E -6.33%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 15:35
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:23
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:23
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:22
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 16:24
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -16.72%E -6.82%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -16.72%E -6.82%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 15:59
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.34%EV +1.98%E +0.659%K +0.989%G +0.020%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.35%EV -7.69%E -3.04%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.31%EV -2.29%E -0.691%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.99%EV -3.80%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.90%EV -7.69%E -3.04%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:24
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -2.10%E -0.730%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 16:25
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.44%E -0.851%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.44%E -0.851%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:25
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:23
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:25
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:24
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 16:24
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:24
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:24
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 16:24
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.81%EV -5.84%E -2.11%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -10.85%E -3.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 16:24
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.39%EV -9.24%E -3.46%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.92%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 16:24
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.32%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -15.87%E -5.57%K -8.58%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 16:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 16:24
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.2%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.2%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.87%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%1.4%2026-08-16 16:25
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.83%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-16 16:25
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-08-16 16:25