Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KV Mechelen v Standard Liege

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 16:30 UTC

Score final : KV Mechelen 3–3 Standard Liege

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KV Mechelen (Local)

Prévision 33.99%2.94cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.659%
Kelly +0.989%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.34%34.14%34.12%36.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.682.653.0040.82%37.31%37.74%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Standard Liege (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.49%2.74cote équitable
EV +2.16%
Avantage +0.773%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.42%36.32%36.42%38.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.552.8041.67%38.90%39.22%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.52%3.39cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.691%
Kelly -0.991%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.48%29.54%29.46%31.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.133.153.3135.09%31.99%31.75%30.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KV Mechelen (Local) : 33.99% ; Standard Liege (Visiteur) : 36.49% ; Match nul : 29.52%. Pour Standard Liege (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.74. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.80, soit une espérance positive de +2.16%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV +2.16%E +0.773%K +1.20%G +0.026%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV +2.16%E +0.773%K +1.20%G +0.026%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV +0.340%E +0.124%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:59
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -5.16%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -0.025%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -4.65%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 15:45
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 15:49
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 15:59
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 16:00
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.48%E -0.550%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 15:59
Suprabets🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.07%EV -8.19%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:16
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -4.04%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:25
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:24
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:14
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 15:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 15:59
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -15.70%E -6.33%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 15:35
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:23
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:23
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:22
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 16:24
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -16.72%E -6.82%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -16.72%E -6.82%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 15:59
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.34%EV +1.98%E +0.659%K +0.989%G +0.020%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.35%EV -7.69%E -3.04%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.31%EV -2.29%E -0.691%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.99%EV -3.80%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.90%EV -7.69%E -3.04%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:24
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -2.10%E -0.730%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 16:25
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.44%E -0.851%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.44%E -0.851%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:25
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:23
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:25
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:24
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 16:24
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:24
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:24
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 16:24
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.39%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.81%EV -5.84%E -2.11%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -10.85%E -3.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 16:24
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.39%EV -9.24%E -3.46%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.92%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 16:24
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.32%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -15.87%E -5.57%K -8.58%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 16:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 16:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.2%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.2%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.87%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%1.4%2026-08-16 16:25
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.83%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-16 16:25
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-08-16 16:25