Language:English
Sturm Graz v LASK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -0.892%
Edge -0.245%
Kelly -0.338%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.99%27.14%27.27%31.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.343.403.6434.72%29.91%29.41%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
LASK (Visit)
Prediction 48.07%2.08fair odd
EV +0.948%
Edge +0.452%
Kelly +0.862%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.84%48.12%48.06%50.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.922.1055.56%52.03%52.08%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.70%4.05fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -0.939%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.84%24.74%24.66%26.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.733.9028.57%27.15%26.85%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sturm Graz (Local): 27.23%; LASK (Visit): 48.07%; Draw: 24.70%. For LASK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.948%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -16.96%E -5.56%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV +0.948%E +0.452%K +0.862%G +0.008% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -1.46%E -0.710%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.73%EV -3.38%E -1.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -4.65%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -0.892%E -0.245%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.30%EV -3.86%E -1.93%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 14:51 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -21.58%E -7.49%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -3.86%E -1.93%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.82%E -2.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.82%E -2.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -5.78%E -2.95%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 14:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.34%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.34%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.23%EV -9.06%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.37%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -11.57%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 14:32 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 14:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -12.31%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.67%E -4.56%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -4.90%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -8.67%E -4.56%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.60%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.11%E -5.41%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -12.51%E -6.87%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 14:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -12.51%E -6.87%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.55%EV -12.99%E -7.18%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.22%EV -13.47%E -7.48%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-13 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.65% | -2.5% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |