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Sturm Graz v LASK
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Sturm Graz (Хозяева)
Прогноз 27.23%3.67справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.892%
Преимущество -0.245%
Kelly -0.338%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.64
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.99%27.14%27.27%31.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.343.403.6434.72%29.91%29.41%27.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
LASK (Гости)
Прогноз 48.07%2.08справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.948%
Преимущество +0.452%
Kelly +0.862%
Рост +0.008%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.84%48.12%48.06%50.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.921.922.1055.56%52.03%52.08%47.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.70%4.05справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.66%
Преимущество -0.939%
Kelly -1.26%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.84%24.74%24.66%26.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.683.733.9028.57%27.15%26.85%25.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Sturm Graz (Хозяева): 27.23%; LASK (Гости): 48.07%; Ничья: 24.70%. Для исхода «LASK (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.08. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.10, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.948%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -16.96%E -5.56%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV +0.948%E +0.452%K +0.862%G +0.008% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -1.46%E -0.710%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.73%EV -3.38%E -1.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -4.65%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -0.892%E -0.245%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.30%EV -3.86%E -1.93%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 14:51 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -21.58%E -7.49%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -3.86%E -1.93%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.82%E -2.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.82%E -2.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -5.78%E -2.95%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 14:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.34%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.34%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.23%EV -9.06%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.37%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -11.57%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 14:32 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 14:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -12.31%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.67%E -4.56%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -4.90%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -8.67%E -4.56%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.60%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.11%E -5.41%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -12.51%E -6.87%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 14:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -12.51%E -6.87%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.55%EV -12.99%E -7.18%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.22%EV -13.47%E -7.48%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-13 14:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.65% | -2.5% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |