StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sturm Graz v LASK

Matchstart: 2026-09-13 15:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Sturm Graz 2–1 LASK

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sturm Graz (Hemma)

Prognos 27.23%3.67rättvist odds
EV -0.892%
Fördel -0.245%
Kelly -0.338%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.99%27.14%27.27%31.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.343.403.6434.72%29.91%29.41%27.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

LASK (Borta)

Prognos 48.07%2.08rättvist odds
EV +0.948%
Fördel +0.452%
Kelly +0.862%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.84%48.12%48.06%50.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.801.921.922.1055.56%52.03%52.08%47.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.70%4.05rättvist odds
EV -3.66%
Fördel -0.939%
Kelly -1.26%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.84%24.74%24.66%26.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.683.733.9028.57%27.15%26.85%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sturm Graz (Hemma): 27.23%; LASK (Borta): 48.07%; Oavgjort: 24.70%. För LASK (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.08. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.948%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -16.96%E -5.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV +0.948%E +0.452%K +0.862%G +0.008%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 13:45
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -1.46%E -0.710%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 13:45
1xBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.73%EV -3.38%E -1.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -4.65%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Pinnacle🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -0.892%E -0.245%K -0.338%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.30%EV -3.86%E -1.93%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 14:51
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -21.58%E -7.49%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -3.86%E -1.93%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.82%E -2.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.82%E -2.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:55
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -5.78%E -2.95%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:10
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:34
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:35
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 12:00
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 12:00
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 14:51
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:45
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:45
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:45
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:46
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:46
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:45
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.34%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:55
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.34%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:55
Suprabets🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.23%EV -9.06%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.37%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -11.57%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:32
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:30
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 14:55
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 12:00
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 14:51
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -12.31%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 14:55
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:01
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:01
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.67%E -4.56%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -4.90%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -8.67%E -4.56%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.60%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 12:05
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 05:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.11%E -5.41%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 05:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 05:46
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-13 05:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-13 05:46
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -12.51%E -6.87%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 14:32
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -12.51%E -6.87%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 14:35
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.55%EV -12.99%E -7.18%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 14:30
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.22%EV -13.47%E -7.48%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-13 14:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 27.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.65%-2.5%2026-09-13 14:30
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-13 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-13 14:55