Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sturm Graz v LASK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 15:00 UTC

Score final : Sturm Graz 2–1 LASK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sturm Graz (Local)

Prévision 27.23%3.67cote équitable
EV -0.892%
Avantage -0.245%
Kelly -0.338%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.99%27.14%27.27%31.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.403.6434.72%29.91%29.41%27.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

LASK (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.07%2.08cote équitable
EV +0.948%
Avantage +0.452%
Kelly +0.862%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.84%48.12%48.06%50.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.921.922.1055.56%52.03%52.08%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.70%4.05cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -0.939%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.84%24.74%24.66%26.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.683.733.9028.57%27.15%26.85%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sturm Graz (Local) : 27.23% ; LASK (Visiteur) : 48.07% ; Match nul : 24.70%. Pour LASK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.08. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.10, soit une espérance positive de +0.948%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -16.96%E -5.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV +0.948%E +0.452%K +0.862%G +0.008%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 13:45
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -1.46%E -0.710%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 13:45
1xBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.73%EV -3.38%E -1.68%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -4.65%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Pinnacle🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -0.892%E -0.245%K -0.338%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.30%EV -3.86%E -1.93%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 14:51
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -21.58%E -7.49%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -3.86%E -1.93%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.82%E -2.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.82%E -2.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:55
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -5.78%E -2.95%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:10
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:34
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:35
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 12:00
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 12:00
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 14:51
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:45
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:45
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:45
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:46
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:46
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 05:45
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.34%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:55
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.34%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:55
Suprabets🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.23%EV -9.06%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.37%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -11.57%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:32
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:30
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 14:55
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 12:00
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 14:51
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -12.31%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 14:55
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:01
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:01
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.67%E -4.56%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -4.90%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -8.67%E -4.56%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.60%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 12:05
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 05:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.11%E -5.41%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 05:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 05:46
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-13 05:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-13 05:46
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -12.51%E -6.87%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 14:32
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -12.51%E -6.87%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 14:35
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.55%EV -12.99%E -7.18%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 14:30
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.22%EV -13.47%E -7.48%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-13 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 27.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.65%-2.5%2026-09-13 14:30
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-13 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-13 14:55