Idioma:Español
Sturm Graz v LASK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sturm Graz (Local)
Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV -0.892%
Ventaja -0.245%
Kelly -0.338%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.99%27.14%27.27%31.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.403.6434.72%29.91%29.41%27.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
LASK (Visitante)
Predicción 48.07%2.08momio equitativo
EV +0.948%
Ventaja +0.452%
Kelly +0.862%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.84%48.12%48.06%50.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.921.922.1055.56%52.03%52.08%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.70%4.05momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -0.939%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.84%24.74%24.66%26.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.683.733.9028.57%27.15%26.85%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sturm Graz (Local): 27.23%; LASK (Visitante): 48.07%; Empate: 24.70%. Para LASK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.08. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.948%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -16.96%E -5.56%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV +0.948%E +0.452%K +0.862%G +0.008% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -1.46%E -0.710%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.73%EV -3.38%E -1.68%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -4.65%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -0.892%E -0.245%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.30%EV -3.86%E -1.93%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 14:51 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -21.58%E -7.49%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -3.86%E -1.93%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.82%E -2.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.82%E -2.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -5.78%E -2.95%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 14:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.74%E -3.48%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.34%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.34%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.23%EV -9.06%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.37%EV -7.70%E -4.01%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -11.57%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 14:32 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.43%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 14:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -12.31%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.29%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.67%E -4.56%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -4.90%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -8.67%E -4.56%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.60%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.98%E -0.550%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.11%E -5.41%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -10.59%E -5.69%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.07%E -5.98%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-13 05:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -12.51%E -6.87%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 14:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -12.51%E -6.87%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.55%EV -12.99%E -7.18%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.22%EV -13.47%E -7.48%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-13 14:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.65% | -2.5% | 2026-09-13 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 14:55 |