Language:English
Ried v RB Salzburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ried (Local)
Prediction 19.62%5.10fair odd
EV +6.91%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.107%
assuming max odds 5.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.43%19.39%19.65%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.664.655.4523.81%21.44%21.51%18.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
RB Salzburg (Visit)
Prediction 58.15%1.72fair odd
EV -5.80%
Edge -3.58%
Kelly -9.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.46%58.32%58.20%60.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6266.67%63.42%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.24%4.50fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.633%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%22.29%22.15%24.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.694.074.104.4027.10%24.56%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ried (Local): 19.62%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 58.15%; Draw: 22.24%. For Ried (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.10. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.43%EV +6.91%E +1.27%K +1.55%G +0.107% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.36%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +2.00%E +0.385%K +0.477%G +0.010% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.49%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.49%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -1.92%E -0.384%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -1.92%E -0.384%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -3.49%E -0.709%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -3.88%E -0.792%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -3.88%E -0.792%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 24.01%EV -17.94%E -4.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.84%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -7.55%E -4.75%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.81%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 21:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 01:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -8.79%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -8.79%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.55%E -4.75%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 12:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.38%E -3.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.42%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-07 03:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-07 03:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-09 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -12.71%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.93%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.03%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 17:33 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 12:06 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.99%EV -14.67%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.99%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -15.06%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -15.65%E -3.64%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -17.61%E -4.19%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |