Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ried v RB Salzburg

Początek: 2026-09-11 17:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Ried 1–1 RB Salzburg

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ried (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 19.62%5.10kurs godziwy
EV +6.91%
Przewaga +1.27%
Kelly +1.55%
Wzrost +0.107%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.43%19.39%19.65%21.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.204.664.655.4523.81%21.44%21.51%18.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

RB Salzburg (Goście)

Prognoza 58.15%1.72kurs godziwy
EV -5.80%
Przewaga -3.58%
Kelly -9.36%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.46%58.32%58.20%60.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.581.581.6266.67%63.42%63.29%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.24%4.50kurs godziwy
EV -2.15%
Przewaga -0.489%
Kelly -0.633%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.35%22.29%22.15%24.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.694.074.104.4027.10%24.56%24.39%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Ried (Gospodarze): 19.62%; RB Salzburg (Goście): 58.15%; Remis: 22.24%. Dla wyniku Ried (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.10. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.45, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.91%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.43%EV +6.91%E +1.27%K +1.55%G +0.107%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.36%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +2.00%E +0.385%K +0.477%G +0.010%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.49%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:41
LowVig.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.49%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:40
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -1.92%E -0.384%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 13:40
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -1.92%E -0.384%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:40
1xBet🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -3.49%E -0.709%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 16:25
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -3.88%E -0.792%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:25
Suprabets🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -3.88%E -0.792%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.01%EV -17.94%E -4.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 16:29
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.84%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -7.55%E -4.75%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.81%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 12:10
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 12:10
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 19:25
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:31
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:45
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 01:40
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -8.79%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:10
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -8.79%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:10
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.55%E -4.75%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 19:25
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 12:06
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:24
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 19:30
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.38%E -3.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 12:10
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 12:05
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.42%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 03:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 03:30
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-09 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -12.71%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.93%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.03%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 17:33
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:25
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:24
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 12:06
Unibet (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 19.99%EV -14.67%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.99%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -15.06%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -15.65%E -3.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 19:24
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -17.61%E -4.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 19:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-09-09 16:50
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-09-09 17:35