Idioma:Español
Ried v RB Salzburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ried (Local)
Predicción 19.62%5.10momio equitativo
EV +6.91%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.107%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.43%19.39%19.65%21.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.664.655.4523.81%21.44%21.51%18.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
RB Salzburg (Visitante)
Predicción 58.15%1.72momio equitativo
EV -5.80%
Ventaja -3.58%
Kelly -9.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.46%58.32%58.20%60.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.581.6266.67%63.42%63.29%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.24%4.50momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -0.633%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.35%22.29%22.15%24.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.694.074.104.4027.10%24.56%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ried (Local): 19.62%; RB Salzburg (Visitante): 58.15%; Empate: 22.24%. Para Ried (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.10. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.91%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.43%EV +6.91%E +1.27%K +1.55%G +0.107% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.36%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +2.00%E +0.385%K +0.477%G +0.010% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.49%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.49%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -1.92%E -0.384%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -1.92%E -0.384%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -3.49%E -0.709%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -3.88%E -0.792%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -3.88%E -0.792%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 24.01%EV -17.94%E -4.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.84%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -7.55%E -4.75%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.81%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 21:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 01:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -8.79%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -8.79%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.55%E -4.75%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 12:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.38%E -3.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.42%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-07 03:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-07 03:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-09 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -12.71%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.93%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.03%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 17:33 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 12:06 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.99%EV -14.67%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.99%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -15.06%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -15.65%E -3.64%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -17.61%E -4.19%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 19:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |