StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ried v RB Salzburg

Matchstart: 2026-09-11 17:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Ried 1–1 RB Salzburg

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ried (Hemma)

Prognos 19.62%5.10rättvist odds
EV +6.91%
Fördel +1.27%
Kelly +1.55%
Tillväxt +0.107%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.43%19.39%19.65%21.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.664.655.4523.81%21.44%21.51%18.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

RB Salzburg (Borta)

Prognos 58.15%1.72rättvist odds
EV -5.80%
Fördel -3.58%
Kelly -9.36%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.46%58.32%58.20%60.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.581.581.6266.67%63.42%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.24%4.50rättvist odds
EV -2.15%
Fördel -0.489%
Kelly -0.633%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.35%22.29%22.15%24.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.694.074.104.4027.10%24.56%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ried (Hemma): 19.62%; RB Salzburg (Borta): 58.15%; Oavgjort: 22.24%. För Ried (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.10. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.45, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.91%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.43%EV +6.91%E +1.27%K +1.55%G +0.107%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.36%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +2.00%E +0.385%K +0.477%G +0.010%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.49%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:41
LowVig.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.49%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:40
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -1.92%E -0.384%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 13:40
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -1.92%E -0.384%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:40
1xBet🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -3.49%E -0.709%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 16:25
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -3.88%E -0.792%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:25
Suprabets🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -3.88%E -0.792%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.01%EV -17.94%E -4.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 16:29
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.84%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -7.55%E -4.75%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.81%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 12:10
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 12:10
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 19:25
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:31
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:45
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 01:40
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -8.79%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:10
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -8.79%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:10
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.55%E -4.75%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 19:25
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 12:06
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:24
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 19:30
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.38%E -3.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 12:10
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 12:05
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.42%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 03:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 03:30
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-09 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -12.71%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.93%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.03%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 17:33
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:25
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:24
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 12:06
Unibet (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 19.99%EV -14.67%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.99%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -15.06%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -15.65%E -3.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 19:24
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -17.61%E -4.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 19:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-09-09 16:50
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-09-09 17:35