Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ried v RB Salzburg

Início: 2026-09-11 17:30 UTC

Final: Ried 1–1 RB Salzburg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ried (Local)

Previsão 19.62%5.10odd justa
EV +6.91%
Vantagem +1.27%
Kelly +1.55%
Crescimento +0.107%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.43%19.39%19.65%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.664.655.4523.81%21.44%21.51%18.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

RB Salzburg (Visitante)

Previsão 58.15%1.72odd justa
EV -5.80%
Vantagem -3.58%
Kelly -9.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.46%58.32%58.20%60.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.581.581.6266.67%63.42%63.29%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.24%4.50odd justa
EV -2.15%
Vantagem -0.489%
Kelly -0.633%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.35%22.29%22.15%24.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.694.074.104.4027.10%24.56%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ried (Local): 19.62%; RB Salzburg (Visitante): 58.15%; Empate: 22.24%. Para Ried (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.10. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.91%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.43%EV +6.91%E +1.27%K +1.55%G +0.107%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.36%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +2.00%E +0.385%K +0.477%G +0.010%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.49%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:41
LowVig.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.49%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:40
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -1.92%E -0.384%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 13:40
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -1.92%E -0.384%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:40
1xBet🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -3.49%E -0.709%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 16:25
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -3.88%E -0.792%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:25
Suprabets🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -3.88%E -0.792%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.01%EV -17.94%E -4.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 16:29
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.84%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -7.55%E -4.75%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.81%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 12:10
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 12:10
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 19:25
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:31
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:35
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:45
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.82%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 01:40
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -8.79%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:10
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -8.79%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:10
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.55%E -4.75%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 19:25
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 12:06
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:24
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.13%E -5.15%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 19:30
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.38%E -3.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 12:10
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 12:05
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.42%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 03:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 03:30
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-09 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -12.71%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.93%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.03%EV -9.94%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 17:33
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:25
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:24
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -13.69%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -11.04%E -7.21%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 12:06
Unibet (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 19.99%EV -14.67%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.99%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -15.06%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -15.65%E -3.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 19:24
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -17.61%E -4.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -10.46%E -6.79%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 19:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-09-09 16:50
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-09-09 17:35