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RB Salzburg v Sturm Graz
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
RB Salzburg (Хозяева)
Прогноз 57.63%1.74справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.18%
Преимущество -1.89%
Kelly -4.67%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.68
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.32%57.61%57.56%59.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.611.601.6866.67%61.93%62.50%59.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Sturm Graz (Гости)
Прогноз 19.74%5.07справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.80%
Преимущество +1.08%
Kelly +1.33%
Рост +0.077%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.36
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.95%19.73%19.75%22.12%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.494.505.3625.00%22.29%22.22%18.66%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 22.63%4.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.438%
Преимущество -0.100%
Kelly -0.129%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.35%22.66%22.70%23.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.90%25.00%22.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: RB Salzburg (Хозяева): 57.63%; Sturm Graz (Гости): 19.74%; Ничья: 22.63%. Для исхода «Sturm Graz (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.07. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.36, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.80%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.75%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.98%EV +5.80%E +1.08%K +1.33%G +0.077% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.27%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +2.65%E +0.509%K +0.630%G +0.017% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +2.65%E +0.509%K +0.630%G +0.017% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 12:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.30%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.37%EV -4.33%E -2.61%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.12%EV -1.70%E -0.341%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 06:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -3.28%E -0.669%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 14:12 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.85%EV -4.33%E -2.61%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.76%EV -4.07%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.39%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 14:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.438%E -0.100%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.83%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 10:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.70%E -0.628%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.06%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 14:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -13.55%E -9.03%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -10.09%E -6.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -13.15%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -13.55%E -9.03%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -11.82%E -7.73%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -18.54%E -5.15%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -21.04%E -5.26%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.15%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 14:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.91% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.85% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |