مدرسة الاحتمالات

RB Salzburg v Sturm Graz

البداية: 2026-05-03 15:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: RB Salzburg 1–1 Sturm Graz

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

RB Salzburg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.63%1.74السعر العادل
EV -3.18%
الأفضلية -1.89%
Kelly -4.67%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.32%57.61%57.56%59.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.611.601.6866.67%61.93%62.50%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sturm Graz (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.74%5.07السعر العادل
EV +5.80%
الأفضلية +1.08%
Kelly +1.33%
النمو +0.077%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.95%19.73%19.75%22.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.494.505.3625.00%22.29%22.22%18.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.63%4.42السعر العادل
EV -0.438%
الأفضلية -0.100%
Kelly -0.129%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.35%22.66%22.70%23.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.90%25.00%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.75%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.98%EV +5.80%E +1.08%K +1.33%G +0.077%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.27%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +2.65%E +0.509%K +0.630%G +0.017%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 13:00
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +2.65%E +0.509%K +0.630%G +0.017%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:59
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.30%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:35
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.37%EV -4.33%E -2.61%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.12%EV -1.70%E -0.341%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 06:10
Suprabets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -3.28%E -0.669%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:12
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.85%EV -4.33%E -2.61%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.76%EV -4.07%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.39%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 14:50
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:56
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.438%E -0.100%K -0.129%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:24
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.83%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:14
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:10
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:50
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:50
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.70%E -0.628%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:25
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:25
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 10:15
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:15
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:15
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:15
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:15
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.06%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 14:38
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -13.55%E -9.03%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-03 13:00
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -10.09%E -6.47%K -18.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -13.15%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 10:15
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:25
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:25
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:25
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 14:24
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -13.55%E -9.03%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -11.82%E -7.73%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -18.54%E -5.15%K -7.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 14:25
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 10:15
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 12:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 12:05
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 12:05
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -21.04%E -5.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.15%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 12:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-05-03 14:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-03 14:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.91%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-05-03 14:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.85%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%2.4%2026-05-03 14:55