Idioma:Español
RB Salzburg v Sturm Graz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
RB Salzburg (Local)
Predicción 57.63%1.74momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -4.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.32%57.61%57.56%59.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.611.601.6866.67%61.93%62.50%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sturm Graz (Visitante)
Predicción 19.74%5.07momio equitativo
EV +5.80%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.077%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.95%19.73%19.75%22.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.494.505.3625.00%22.29%22.22%18.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.63%4.42momio equitativo
EV -0.438%
Ventaja -0.100%
Kelly -0.129%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.35%22.66%22.70%23.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.90%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: RB Salzburg (Local): 57.63%; Sturm Graz (Visitante): 19.74%; Empate: 22.63%. Para Sturm Graz (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.07. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.36, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.80%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.75%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.98%EV +5.80%E +1.08%K +1.33%G +0.077% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.27%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +2.65%E +0.509%K +0.630%G +0.017% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +2.65%E +0.509%K +0.630%G +0.017% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 12:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.30%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.37%EV -4.33%E -2.61%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.12%EV -1.70%E -0.341%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 06:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -3.28%E -0.669%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 14:12 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.85%EV -4.33%E -2.61%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.76%EV -4.07%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.39%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 14:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.438%E -0.100%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.83%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 10:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.70%E -0.628%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.06%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 14:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -13.55%E -9.03%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -10.09%E -6.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -13.15%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -13.55%E -9.03%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -11.82%E -7.73%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -18.54%E -5.15%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -21.04%E -5.26%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.15%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 14:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.91% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.85% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |