A Escola das Odds

RB Salzburg v Sturm Graz

Início: 2026-05-03 15:00 UTC

Final: RB Salzburg 1–1 Sturm Graz

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

RB Salzburg (Local)

Previsão 57.63%1.74odd justa
EV -3.18%
Vantagem -1.89%
Kelly -4.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.32%57.61%57.56%59.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.611.601.6866.67%61.93%62.50%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sturm Graz (Visitante)

Previsão 19.74%5.07odd justa
EV +5.80%
Vantagem +1.08%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescimento +0.077%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.95%19.73%19.75%22.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.494.505.3625.00%22.29%22.22%18.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.63%4.42odd justa
EV -0.438%
Vantagem -0.100%
Kelly -0.129%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.35%22.66%22.70%23.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.90%25.00%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.75%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.98%EV +5.80%E +1.08%K +1.33%G +0.077%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.27%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +2.65%E +0.509%K +0.630%G +0.017%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 13:00
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +2.65%E +0.509%K +0.630%G +0.017%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:59
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.30%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:35
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.37%EV -4.33%E -2.61%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.12%EV -1.70%E -0.341%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 06:10
Suprabets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -3.28%E -0.669%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:12
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.85%EV -4.33%E -2.61%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.76%EV -4.07%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.39%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 14:50
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:56
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.438%E -0.100%K -0.129%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:24
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.83%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:14
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:10
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:50
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:50
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.70%E -0.628%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:25
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:25
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 10:15
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:15
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:15
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:15
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:15
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.06%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 14:38
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -13.55%E -9.03%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-03 13:00
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -10.09%E -6.47%K -18.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -13.15%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 10:15
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:25
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:25
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:25
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 14:24
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -13.55%E -9.03%K -27.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -11.82%E -7.73%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -18.54%E -5.15%K -7.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 14:25
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 10:15
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 12:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 12:05
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 12:05
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -21.04%E -5.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.15%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 12:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-05-03 14:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-03 14:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.91%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-05-03 14:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.85%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%2.4%2026-05-03 14:55