L’École des cotesRB Salzburg v Sturm Graz
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
RB Salzburg (Local)
Prévision 57.63%1.74cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -4.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.32%57.61%57.56%59.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.611.601.6866.67%61.93%62.50%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sturm Graz (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.74%5.07cote équitable
EV +5.80%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.077%
avec la cote maximale 5.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.95%19.73%19.75%22.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.494.505.3625.00%22.29%22.22%18.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.63%4.42cote équitable
EV -0.438%
Avantage -0.100%
Kelly -0.129%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.35%22.66%22.70%23.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.90%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.75%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.98%EV +5.80%E +1.08%K +1.33%G +0.077% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.27%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +2.65%E +0.509%K +0.630%G +0.017% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +2.65%E +0.509%K +0.630%G +0.017% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.30%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 11:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.37%EV -4.33%E -2.61%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.12%EV -1.70%E -0.341%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 06:10 |
| Suprabets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -3.28%E -0.669%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 14:12 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.85%EV -4.33%E -2.61%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.76%EV -4.07%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.39%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 14:56 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.438%E -0.100%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.83%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 10:14 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.70%E -0.628%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.06%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 14:38 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -13.55%E -9.03%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -10.09%E -6.47%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -13.15%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -13.55%E -9.03%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -11.82%E -7.73%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.53%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -18.54%E -5.15%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -11.25%E -7.30%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -19.07%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -21.04%E -5.26%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.15%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 14:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.91% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.85% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |