Language:English
RB Salzburg v Hartberg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
RB Salzburg (Local)
Prediction 71.94%1.39fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -3.25%
Kelly -13.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.24%71.95%71.87%74.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.291.3381.30%77.72%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hartberg (Visit)
Prediction 10.94%9.14fair odd
EV +6.67%
Edge +0.684%
Kelly +0.762%
Growth +0.051%
assuming max odds 9.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.85%10.96%10.96%12.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.358.509.7514.29%11.97%11.76%10.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.12%5.84fair odd
EV +5.82%
Edge +0.942%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.065%
assuming max odds 6.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.66%17.09%17.17%18.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.225.106.1820.83%19.14%19.61%16.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RB Salzburg (Local): 71.94%; Hartberg (Visit): 10.94%; Draw: 17.12%. For Hartberg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.14. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.42%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV +6.67%E +0.684%K +0.762%G +0.051% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.66%EV +5.82%E +0.942%K +1.12%G +0.065% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.42%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV +6.67%E +0.684%K +0.762%G +0.051% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.66%EV +5.82%E +0.942%K +1.12%G +0.065% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.81%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 9.31I 10.74%NM 10.31%EV +1.85%E +0.199%K +0.223%G +0.004% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.89%EV +3.43%E +0.567%K +0.680%G +0.023% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -1.54%E -0.171%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -0.683%E -0.118%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -1.54%E -0.171%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -1.54%E -0.268%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -1.54%E -0.268%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 17:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -3.73%E -0.424%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -4.11%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -4.11%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 17:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.17%EV -7.92%E -6.19%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -20.68%E -2.85%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -4.11%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.92%E -6.19%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +3.93%E +0.414%K +0.462%G +0.018% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -5.76%E -4.40%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 17:23 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.56%EV -5.92%E -0.688%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 17:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.59%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -23.42%E -3.35%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-01 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -9.74%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -1.54%E -0.171%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.91%EV -7.92%E -6.19%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.64%EV -14.67%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -10.96%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.50%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 16:53 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-01 17:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-01 07:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%EV -11.52%E -9.36%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.74%E +0.187%K +0.210%G +0.004% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -15.24%E -3.08%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.74%E +0.187%K +0.210%G +0.004% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -15.24%E -3.08%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.35%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.88%EV -19.04%E -2.57%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.77%EV -15.24%E -3.08%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-01 17:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.85%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.07%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -16.09%E -3.28%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -15.21%E -1.96%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -16.95%E -3.49%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 16:43 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
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