The School of Odds

RB Salzburg v Hartberg

2026-08-01 17:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

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Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

RB Salzburg (Local)

Prediction 70.61%1.42fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -4.02%
Kelly -15.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.33%70.84%70.62%73.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.301.3481%77%77%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hartberg (Visit)

Prediction 11.46%8.73fair odd
EV +6.32%
Edge +0.681%
Kelly +0.763%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 9.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.19%11.34%11.50%13.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.257.888.009.2816%13%13%11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 17.94%5.58fair odd
EV +4.03%
Edge +0.695%
Kelly +0.840%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.10%17.81%17.88%19.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.505.035.005.8022%20%20%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 73.31%EV -8.92%E -6.91%K -30.75%G +0.000%9.28I 10.78%NM 10.19%EV +6.32%E +0.681%K +0.763%G +0.048%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.50%EV +2.78%E +0.484%K +0.587%G +0.016%5.7%2026-07-24 20:55
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -10.33%E -8.13%K -38.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.11%E +0.345%K +0.389%G +0.012%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV +4.03%E +0.695%K +0.840%G +0.034%7.1%2026-07-24 13:40
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.64%EV +0.818%E +0.093%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -3.14%E -0.582%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 12:30
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.39%E -4.02%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV +0.818%E +0.093%K +0.105%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -15.70%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 12:35
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.39%E -4.02%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV +0.818%E +0.093%K +0.105%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -15.70%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 12:35
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -6.80%E -5.15%K -21.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -2.62%E -0.308%K -0.349%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 13:50
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -6.09%E -4.58%K -18.46%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -5.48%E -0.665%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 13:59
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -6.80%E -5.15%K -21.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -3.14%E -0.582%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 20:57
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 70.76%EV -7.50%E -5.73%K -24.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 13:30
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -7.50%E -5.73%K -24.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 10:20
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.50%E -5.73%K -24.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 17:34
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:35
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:35
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:30
Suprabets1.24I 80.65%NM 71.28%EV -12.45%E -10.04%K -51.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 13:35
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.26%EV -8.92%E -6.91%K -30.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.62%EV -10.64%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:00
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 13:58
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:00
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.74%E -9.39%K -46.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -1.35%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 20:55
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -8.92%E -6.91%K -30.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -14.80%E -3.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-24 13:40
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 69.62%EV -11.04%E -8.76%K -42.44%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -16.94%E -2.34%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.62%EV -11.04%E -8.76%K -42.44%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -16.94%E -2.34%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 10:28
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.26%EV -11.04%E -8.76%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.93%EV -22.67%E -3.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.81%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-25 10:19
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 67.33%EV -8.92%E -6.91%K -30.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.36%EV -25.53%E -3.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -19.29%E -4.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-22 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 68.30%EV -13.15%E -10.69%K -57.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.44%EV -28.40%E -4.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.26%EV -17.49%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-25 10:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.89%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.74%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%4.7%2026-07-25 08:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.89%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.74%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%4.7%2026-07-25 08:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.89%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.74%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%4.7%2026-07-25 08:10
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 68.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.01%16.9%2026-07-25 10:20