The School of Odds

RB Salzburg v Hartberg

2026-08-01 17:30 — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: RB Salzburg (Local)

Odds
1.2878.13%Min
1.3275.57%Mean
1.3375.19%Median
1.3772.99%Max
Consensus probabilities
65.86%1.518Min
70.32%1.422Max
68.98%1.450Mean
69.06%1.448Median
69.06%1.448IQM
69.10%1.447Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.37 under the IQM model: 69.06%

EV -5.39%Edge -3.94%Kelly -14.58%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Hartberg (Visit)

Odds
5.8017.24%Min
6.9714.34%Mean
7.0014.29%Median
8.0012.50%Max
Consensus probabilities
11.67%8.570Min
14.53%6.880Max
12.39%8.069Mean
12.37%8.085Median
12.37%8.085IQM
12.32%8.118Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 8.00 under the IQM model: 12.37%

EV -1.05%Edge -0.131%Kelly -0.150%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
4.3023.26%Min
4.7820.93%Mean
4.8020.83%Median
5.2019.23%Max
Consensus probabilities
17.99%5.560Min
19.60%5.101Max
18.63%5.368Mean
18.58%5.383Median
18.58%5.383IQM
18.58%5.382Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.20 under the IQM model: 18.58%

EV -3.41%Edge -0.655%Kelly -0.811%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerRB Salzburg (Local) ▼Hartberg (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.37I 72.99% NM 68.35%EV -5.39% E -3.94% K -14.58% G +0.000%7.47I 13.39% NM 12.54%EV -7.61% E -1.02% K -1.18% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 19.11%EV -8.98% E -1.83% K -2.30% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 03:49
Fanatics1.35I 74.07% NM 68.36%EV -6.77% E -5.02% K -19.36% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.18%EV -13.42% E -1.92% K -2.24% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.46%EV -7.12% E -1.42% K -1.78% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-03 16:45
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07% NM 67.56%EV -6.77% E -5.02% K -19.36% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.03%EV -13.42% E -1.92% K -2.24% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.41%EV -12.70% E -2.70% K -3.43% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-05 00:15
Coolbet1.34I 74.63% NM 69.66%EV -7.47% E -5.57% K -21.96% G +0.000%8.00I 12.50% NM 11.67%EV -1.05% E -0.131% K -0.150% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.67%EV -7.12% E -1.42% K -1.78% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-03 16:50
FanDuel1.33I 75.19% NM 70.32%EV -8.16% E -6.13% K -24.71% G +0.000%8.00I 12.50% NM 11.69%EV -1.05% E -0.131% K -0.150% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.99%EV -3.41% E -0.655% K -0.811% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-03 16:38
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34% NM 66.53%EV -9.54% E -7.28% K -30.76% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.53%EV -25.79% E -4.30% K -5.16% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 18.95%EV -14.55% E -3.16% K -4.04% G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-05 00:20
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92% NM 66.81%EV -10.23% E -7.87% K -34.09% G +0.000%6.25I 16.00% NM 13.90%EV -22.70% E -3.63% K -4.32% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.30%EV -16.41% E -3.65% K -4.69% G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-03 16:40
SportsBet1.28I 78.13% NM 69.29%EV -11.61% E -9.07% K -41.46% G +0.000%7.25I 13.79% NM 12.23%EV -10.33% E -1.42% K -1.65% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 18.48%EV -10.84% E -2.26% K -2.85% G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-03 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13% NM 65.86%EV -11.61% E -9.07% K -41.46% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 14.53%EV -28.26% E -4.87% K -5.89% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 19.60%EV -20.13% E -4.68% K -6.10% G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-05 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerRB Salzburg (Local)Hartberg (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 07:45