La scuola delle quote

RB Salzburg v Hartberg

2026-08-01 17:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

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31 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

RB Salzburg (Casa)

Previsione 70.63%1.42quota equa
EV -5.36%
Vantaggio -4.00%
Kelly -15.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.33%70.89%70.62%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.231.291.301.3481.30%77.29%76.92%74.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hartberg (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.46%8.73quota equa
EV +6.35%
Vantaggio +0.684%
Kelly +0.767%
Crescita +0.049%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.19%11.35%11.50%13.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.257.888.009.2816.00%12.69%12.50%10.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 17.91%5.58quota equa
EV +3.89%
Vantaggio +0.671%
Kelly +0.811%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.10%17.76%17.88%19.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.045.005.8022.22%19.84%20.00%17.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 73.31%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.66%G +0.000%9.28I 10.78%NM 10.19%EV +6.35%E +0.684%K +0.767%G +0.049%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.50%EV +2.64%E +0.460%K +0.558%G +0.015%5.7%2026-07-24 20:55
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -10.30%E -8.11%K -38.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.14%E +0.349%K +0.392%G +0.012%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV +3.89%E +0.671%K +0.811%G +0.032%7.1%2026-07-24 13:40
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.66%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.49%EV +1.99%E +0.224%K +0.252%G +0.005%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -2.38%E -0.436%K -0.534%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 04:49
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.36%E -4.00%K -15.76%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV +0.848%E +0.096%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -15.81%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 12:35
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.36%E -4.00%K -15.76%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV +0.848%E +0.096%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -15.81%E -3.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 12:35
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -2.59%E -0.305%K -0.345%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -5.96%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 13:50
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -6.07%E -4.56%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -5.46%E -0.661%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.96%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 13:59
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -3.27%E -0.606%K -0.744%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 20:57
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 70.76%EV -7.48%E -5.71%K -24.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -5.96%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 13:30
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -7.48%E -5.71%K -24.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -6.86%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -8.18%E -6.30%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.96%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 10:20
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.48%E -5.71%K -24.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.44%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 13:39
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.48%E -5.71%K -24.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.44%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.18%E -6.30%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.44%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 17:34
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.18%E -6.30%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.44%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:35
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.18%E -6.30%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.44%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.18%E -6.30%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.44%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:35
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.18%E -6.30%K -27.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.44%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:30
Suprabets1.24I 80.65%NM 71.28%EV -12.42%E -10.02%K -51.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.44%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 13:35
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.26%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.66%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.62%EV -10.61%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.44%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 10:25
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.44%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.18%E -6.30%K -27.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.02%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:00
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.18%E -6.30%K -27.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.02%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 13:58
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.18%E -6.30%K -27.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.02%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.18%E -6.30%K -27.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.02%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:00
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.72%E -9.37%K -46.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -1.48%E -0.270%K -0.329%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 20:55
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 69.62%EV -11.01%E -8.74%K -42.34%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -16.92%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -14.02%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.62%EV -11.01%E -8.74%K -42.34%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -16.92%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -14.02%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 10:28
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.26%EV -11.01%E -8.74%K -42.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.93%EV -22.65%E -3.35%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.81%EV -12.23%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-25 10:19
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 67.33%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.36%EV -25.51%E -3.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -19.39%E -4.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-22 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 68.30%EV -13.13%E -10.67%K -57.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.44%EV -28.38%E -4.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.26%EV -17.60%E -3.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-25 10:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.74%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.80%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.46%4.1%2026-07-25 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.74%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.80%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.46%4.1%2026-07-25 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.74%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.80%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.46%4.1%2026-07-25 18:20
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 68.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.01%16.9%2026-07-25 10:20