Idioma:Español
RB Salzburg v Hartberg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
RB Salzburg (Local)
Predicción 71.94%1.39momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -3.25%
Kelly -13.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.24%71.95%71.87%74.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.231.291.291.3381.30%77.72%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hartberg (Visitante)
Predicción 10.94%9.14momio equitativo
EV +6.67%
Ventaja +0.684%
Kelly +0.762%
Crecimiento +0.051%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.85%10.96%10.96%12.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.008.358.509.7514.29%11.97%11.76%10.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 17.12%5.84momio equitativo
EV +5.82%
Ventaja +0.942%
Kelly +1.12%
Crecimiento +0.065%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.66%17.09%17.17%18.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.225.106.1820.83%19.14%19.61%16.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: RB Salzburg (Local): 71.94%; Hartberg (Visitante): 10.94%; Empate: 17.12%. Para Hartberg (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.14. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.67%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.42%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV +6.67%E +0.684%K +0.762%G +0.051% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.66%EV +5.82%E +0.942%K +1.12%G +0.065% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.42%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV +6.67%E +0.684%K +0.762%G +0.051% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.66%EV +5.82%E +0.942%K +1.12%G +0.065% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.81%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 9.31I 10.74%NM 10.31%EV +1.85%E +0.199%K +0.223%G +0.004% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.89%EV +3.43%E +0.567%K +0.680%G +0.023% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -1.54%E -0.171%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -0.683%E -0.118%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -1.54%E -0.171%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -1.54%E -0.268%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -1.54%E -0.268%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 17:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -3.73%E -0.424%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -4.11%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -4.11%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 17:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.17%EV -7.92%E -6.19%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -20.68%E -2.85%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -4.11%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.92%E -6.19%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +3.93%E +0.414%K +0.462%G +0.018% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -5.76%E -4.40%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 17:23 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.56%EV -5.92%E -0.688%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 17:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.59%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -23.42%E -3.35%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-01 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -9.74%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -1.54%E -0.171%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.91%EV -7.92%E -6.19%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.64%EV -14.67%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -10.96%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.50%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 16:53 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-01 17:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-01 07:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%EV -11.52%E -9.36%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.74%E +0.187%K +0.210%G +0.004% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -15.24%E -3.08%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.74%E +0.187%K +0.210%G +0.004% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -15.24%E -3.08%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.35%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.88%EV -19.04%E -2.57%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.77%EV -15.24%E -3.08%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-01 17:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.85%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.07%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -16.09%E -3.28%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-28 03:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -15.21%E -1.96%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -16.95%E -3.49%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 16:43 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |