L’École des cotes

RB Salzburg v Hartberg

2026-08-01 17:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

RB Salzburg (Local)

Prévision 70.61%1.42cote équitable
EV -5.39%
Avantage -4.02%
Kelly -15.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.33%70.84%70.62%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.231.291.301.3481.30%77.29%76.92%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hartberg (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.46%8.73cote équitable
EV +6.32%
Avantage +0.681%
Kelly +0.763%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 9.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.19%11.34%11.50%13.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.257.888.009.2816.00%12.69%12.50%10.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.94%5.58cote équitable
EV +4.03%
Avantage +0.695%
Kelly +0.840%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 5.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.10%17.81%17.88%19.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.035.005.8022.22%19.87%20.00%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 73.31%EV -8.92%E -6.91%K -30.75%G +0.000%9.28I 10.78%NM 10.19%EV +6.32%E +0.681%K +0.763%G +0.048%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.50%EV +2.78%E +0.484%K +0.587%G +0.016%5.7%2026-07-24 20:55
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -10.33%E -8.13%K -38.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.11%E +0.345%K +0.389%G +0.012%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV +4.03%E +0.695%K +0.840%G +0.034%7.1%2026-07-24 13:40
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -8.92%E -6.91%K -30.75%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.49%EV +1.96%E +0.221%K +0.249%G +0.005%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -2.25%E -0.412%K -0.505%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 01:35
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.39%E -4.02%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV +0.818%E +0.093%K +0.105%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -15.70%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 12:35
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.39%E -4.02%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV +0.818%E +0.093%K +0.105%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -15.70%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 12:35
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -6.80%E -5.15%K -21.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -2.62%E -0.308%K -0.349%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 13:50
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -6.09%E -4.58%K -18.46%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -5.48%E -0.665%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 13:59
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -6.80%E -5.15%K -21.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -3.14%E -0.582%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 20:57
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 70.76%EV -7.50%E -5.73%K -24.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 13:30
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -7.50%E -5.73%K -24.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 10:20
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.50%E -5.73%K -24.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 13:39
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.50%E -5.73%K -24.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 17:34
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:35
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:35
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 13:30
Suprabets1.24I 80.65%NM 71.28%EV -12.45%E -10.04%K -51.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -8.35%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 13:35
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.26%EV -8.92%E -6.91%K -30.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.62%EV -10.64%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:00
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 13:58
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:00
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.74%E -9.39%K -46.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -1.35%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 20:55
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -8.92%E -6.91%K -30.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -14.08%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -14.80%E -3.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-24 13:40
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 69.62%EV -11.04%E -8.76%K -42.44%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -16.94%E -2.34%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.62%EV -11.04%E -8.76%K -42.44%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -16.94%E -2.34%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 10:28
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.26%EV -11.04%E -8.76%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.93%EV -22.67%E -3.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.81%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-25 10:19
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 67.33%EV -8.92%E -6.91%K -30.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.36%EV -25.53%E -3.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -19.29%E -4.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-22 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 68.30%EV -13.15%E -10.69%K -57.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.44%EV -28.40%E -4.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.26%EV -17.49%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-25 10:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.74%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.80%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.46%4.1%2026-07-25 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.74%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.80%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.46%4.1%2026-07-25 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.74%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.80%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.46%4.1%2026-07-25 18:20
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 68.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.01%16.9%2026-07-25 10:20