StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

RB Salzburg v Hartberg

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-01 17:30 UTC

Endstand: RB Salzburg 1–0 Hartberg

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

RB Salzburg (Heim)

Prognose 71.94%1.39faire Quote
EV -4.32%
Vorteil -3.25%
Kelly -13.11%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.24%71.95%71.87%74.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.231.291.291.3381.30%77.72%77.52%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Hartberg (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.94%9.14faire Quote
EV +6.67%
Vorteil +0.684%
Kelly +0.762%
Wachstum +0.051%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.85%10.96%10.96%12.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.008.358.509.7514.29%11.97%11.76%10.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 17.12%5.84faire Quote
EV +5.82%
Vorteil +0.942%
Kelly +1.12%
Wachstum +0.065%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.66%17.09%17.17%18.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.805.225.106.1820.83%19.14%19.61%16.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: RB Salzburg (Heim): 71.94%; Hartberg (Auswärts): 10.94%; Unentschieden: 17.12%. Für Hartberg (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.14. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 9.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.67%.

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.42%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV +6.67%E +0.684%K +0.762%G +0.051%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.66%EV +5.82%E +0.942%K +1.12%G +0.065%3.4%2026-08-01 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.42%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV +6.67%E +0.684%K +0.762%G +0.051%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.66%EV +5.82%E +0.942%K +1.12%G +0.065%3.4%2026-08-01 17:24
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.81%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%9.31I 10.74%NM 10.31%EV +1.85%E +0.199%K +0.223%G +0.004%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.89%EV +3.43%E +0.567%K +0.680%G +0.023%4.2%2026-08-01 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -1.54%E -0.171%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -0.683%E -0.118%K -0.142%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -1.54%E -0.171%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -1.54%E -0.268%K -0.324%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 16:54
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -1.54%E -0.268%K -0.324%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 17:14
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -3.73%E -0.424%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -4.11%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -4.11%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.17%EV -7.92%E -6.19%K -28.29%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -20.68%E -2.85%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -4.11%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.92%E -6.19%K -28.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +3.93%E +0.414%K +0.462%G +0.018%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:49
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -5.76%E -4.40%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 16:49
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 17:23
Suprabets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.56%EV -5.92%E -0.688%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 17:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.59%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -23.42%E -3.35%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -9.74%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -1.54%E -0.171%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 16:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.91%EV -7.92%E -6.19%K -28.29%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.64%EV -14.67%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -10.96%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 03:55
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 03:55
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 03:54
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 03:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 03:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 03:55
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 03:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 03:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 03:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.50%EV -8.64%E -6.80%K -32.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 17:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 16:54
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 16:53
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-28 03:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-28 03:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.20%E -5.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-28 03:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -7.01%E -0.825%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 17:20
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 17:04
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 07:04
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%EV -11.52%E -9.36%K -50.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.76%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.74%E +0.187%K +0.210%G +0.004%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -15.24%E -3.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.76%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.74%E +0.187%K +0.210%G +0.004%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -15.24%E -3.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.35%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.88%EV -19.04%E -2.57%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.77%EV -15.24%E -3.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 17:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.85%EV -10.08%E -8.06%K -40.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.07%EV -12.48%E -1.56%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -16.09%E -3.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-28 03:55
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -15.21%E -1.96%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -16.95%E -3.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 16:44
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 16:43
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -17.95%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 16:44
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%1.1%2026-08-01 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%1.1%2026-08-01 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%1.1%2026-08-01 17:20
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-08-01 17:20