Школа коэффициентов

Hartberg v Rapid Wien

Начало: 2026-04-19 12:30 UTC

Итог: Hartberg 2–2 Rapid Wien

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (14 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Hartberg (Хозяева)

Прогноз 25.30%3.95справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.46%
Преимущество +0.845%
Kelly +1.12%
Рост +0.039%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.09

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.08%25.27%25.34%28.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.533.524.0932.26%28.29%28.37%24.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Rapid Wien (Гости)

Прогноз 46.41%2.15справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.46%
Преимущество -1.66%
Kelly -3.21%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.08

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.86%46.37%46.38%48.23%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.802.002.002.0855.56%50.05%50.00%48.08%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.29%3.53справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.82%
Преимущество -0.526%
Kelly -0.738%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.47

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.48%28.35%28.28%29.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.233.253.4733.33%30.94%30.77%28.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle4.09I 24.45%NM 23.61%EV +3.46%E +0.845%K +1.12%G +0.039%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.81%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.57%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 12:20
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV +1.18%E +0.295%K +0.393%G +0.005%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 12:24
1xBet3.98I 25.13%NM 24.11%EV +0.674%E +0.169%K +0.226%G +0.002%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.23%EV -7.64%E -3.84%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.66%EV -1.82%E -0.526%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 12:25
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -0.085%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 12:25
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 12:25
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 12:05
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 12:05
Suprabets3.76I 26.60%NM 24.22%EV -4.89%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.09%EV -11.44%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 12:08
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:09
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.35%E -5.94%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -16.46%E -9.14%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-19 12:25
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 12:25
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 12:25
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 12:20
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:50
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:35
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:35
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 09:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:35
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -11.82%E -6.22%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 12:04
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.94%EV -14.14%E -7.64%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-19 12:25
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -10.88%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 12:05
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -9.03%E -4.61%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:50
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.46%EV -10.89%E -5.67%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.05%EV -10.03%E -3.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:17
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -13.21%E -7.06%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 12:05
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:34
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -15.26%E -4.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.82%E -6.22%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 11:35
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:09
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:09
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -21.59%E -6.96%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.88%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 00:09
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:25
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%4.4%2026-04-19 12:25