La escuela de los momiosHartberg v Rapid Wien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hartberg (Local)
Predicción 25.30%3.95momio equitativo
EV +3.46%
Ventaja +0.845%
Kelly +1.12%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.08%25.27%25.34%28.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.533.524.0932.26%28.29%28.37%24.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rapid Wien (Visitante)
Predicción 46.41%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.86%46.37%46.38%48.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.002.002.0855.56%50.05%50.00%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.29%3.53momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.526%
Kelly -0.738%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.48%28.35%28.28%29.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.233.253.4733.33%30.94%30.77%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.61%EV +3.46%E +0.845%K +1.12%G +0.039% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.81%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.57%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 12:20 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV +1.18%E +0.295%K +0.393%G +0.005% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 12:24 |
| 1xBet | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.11%EV +0.674%E +0.169%K +0.226%G +0.002% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.23%EV -7.64%E -3.84%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.66%EV -1.82%E -0.526%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 12:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -0.085%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 12:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 12:05 |
| Suprabets | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.22%EV -4.89%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.09%EV -11.44%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 12:08 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 12:09 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.35%E -5.94%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -16.46%E -9.14%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-19 12:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 12:25 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 12:25 |
| 888sport | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 12:20 |
| William Hill | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 11:50 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 09:45 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -11.82%E -6.22%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-19 12:04 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.94%EV -14.14%E -7.64%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-19 12:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -10.88%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -9.03%E -4.61%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.46%EV -10.89%E -5.67%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.05%EV -10.03%E -3.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 12:17 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -13.21%E -7.06%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-19 12:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 11:34 |
| Neds | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -15.26%E -4.56%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.82%E -6.22%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Casumo | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -21.59%E -6.96%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.88%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-19 00:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 12:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.95% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 12:25 |