مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hartberg v Rapid Wien

البداية: 2026-04-19 12:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Hartberg 2–2 Rapid Wien

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hartberg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.30%3.95السعر العادل
EV +3.46%
الأفضلية +0.845%
Kelly +1.12%
النمو +0.039%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.08%25.27%25.34%28.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.533.524.0932.26%28.29%28.37%24.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rapid Wien (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.41%2.15السعر العادل
EV -3.46%
الأفضلية -1.66%
Kelly -3.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.86%46.37%46.38%48.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.802.002.002.0855.56%50.05%50.00%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.29%3.53السعر العادل
EV -1.82%
الأفضلية -0.526%
Kelly -0.738%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.48%28.35%28.28%29.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.233.253.4733.33%30.94%30.77%28.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.09I 24.45%NM 23.61%EV +3.46%E +0.845%K +1.12%G +0.039%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.81%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.57%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 12:20
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV +1.18%E +0.295%K +0.393%G +0.005%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 12:24
1xBet3.98I 25.13%NM 24.11%EV +0.674%E +0.169%K +0.226%G +0.002%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.23%EV -7.64%E -3.84%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.66%EV -1.82%E -0.526%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 12:25
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -0.085%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 12:25
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 12:25
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 12:05
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 12:05
Suprabets3.76I 26.60%NM 24.22%EV -4.89%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.09%EV -11.44%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 12:08
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:09
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.35%E -5.94%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -16.46%E -9.14%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-19 12:25
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 12:25
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 12:25
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 12:20
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:50
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:35
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:35
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 09:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:35
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -11.82%E -6.22%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 12:04
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.94%EV -14.14%E -7.64%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-19 12:25
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -10.88%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 12:05
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -9.03%E -4.61%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:50
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.46%EV -10.89%E -5.67%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.05%EV -10.03%E -3.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:17
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -13.21%E -7.06%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 12:05
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:34
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -15.26%E -4.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.82%E -6.22%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 11:35
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:09
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:09
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -21.59%E -6.96%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.88%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 00:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:25
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%4.4%2026-04-19 12:25