A Escola das Odds

Hartberg v Rapid Wien

Início: 2026-04-19 12:30 UTC

Final: Hartberg 2–2 Rapid Wien

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Hartberg (Local)

Previsão 25.30%3.95odd justa
EV +3.46%
Vantagem +0.845%
Kelly +1.12%
Crescimento +0.039%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.08%25.27%25.34%28.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.533.524.0932.26%28.29%28.37%24.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rapid Wien (Visitante)

Previsão 46.41%2.15odd justa
EV -3.46%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -3.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.86%46.37%46.38%48.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.802.002.002.0855.56%50.05%50.00%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.29%3.53odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -0.526%
Kelly -0.738%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.48%28.35%28.28%29.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.233.253.4733.33%30.94%30.77%28.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle4.09I 24.45%NM 23.61%EV +3.46%E +0.845%K +1.12%G +0.039%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.81%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.57%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 12:20
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV +1.18%E +0.295%K +0.393%G +0.005%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 12:24
1xBet3.98I 25.13%NM 24.11%EV +0.674%E +0.169%K +0.226%G +0.002%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.23%EV -7.64%E -3.84%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.66%EV -1.82%E -0.526%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 12:25
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -0.085%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 12:25
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 12:25
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 12:05
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 12:05
Suprabets3.76I 26.60%NM 24.22%EV -4.89%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.09%EV -11.44%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 12:08
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:09
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.35%E -5.94%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -16.46%E -9.14%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-19 12:25
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 12:25
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 12:25
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 12:20
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:50
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:35
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:35
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 09:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:35
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -11.82%E -6.22%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 12:04
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.94%EV -14.14%E -7.64%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-19 12:25
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -10.88%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 12:05
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -9.03%E -4.61%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:50
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.46%EV -10.89%E -5.67%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.05%EV -10.03%E -3.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:17
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -13.21%E -7.06%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 12:05
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:34
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -15.26%E -4.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.82%E -6.22%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 11:35
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:09
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:09
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -21.59%E -6.96%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.88%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 00:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:25
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%4.4%2026-04-19 12:25