L’École des cotes

Hartberg v Rapid Wien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 12:30 UTC

Score final : Hartberg 2–2 Rapid Wien

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hartberg (Local)

Prévision 25.30%3.95cote équitable
EV +3.46%
Avantage +0.845%
Kelly +1.12%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 4.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.08%25.27%25.34%28.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.533.524.0932.26%28.29%28.37%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rapid Wien (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.41%2.15cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.86%46.37%46.38%48.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.002.002.0855.56%50.05%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.29%3.53cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.526%
Kelly -0.738%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.48%28.35%28.28%29.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.233.253.4733.33%30.94%30.77%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.09I 24.45%NM 23.61%EV +3.46%E +0.845%K +1.12%G +0.039%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.81%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.57%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 12:20
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV +1.18%E +0.295%K +0.393%G +0.005%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 12:24
1xBet3.98I 25.13%NM 24.11%EV +0.674%E +0.169%K +0.226%G +0.002%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.23%EV -7.64%E -3.84%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.66%EV -1.82%E -0.526%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 12:25
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -0.085%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 12:25
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 12:25
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 12:05
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 12:05
Suprabets3.76I 26.60%NM 24.22%EV -4.89%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.09%EV -11.44%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 12:08
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:09
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.35%E -5.94%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -16.46%E -9.14%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-19 12:25
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 12:25
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 12:25
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 12:20
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:50
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:35
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:35
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 09:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:35
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -11.82%E -6.22%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 12:04
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.94%EV -14.14%E -7.64%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-19 12:25
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -10.88%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 12:05
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -9.03%E -4.61%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:50
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.46%EV -10.89%E -5.67%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.05%EV -10.03%E -3.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:17
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -13.21%E -7.06%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.29%E -3.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 12:05
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:34
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -15.26%E -4.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.82%E -6.22%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 11:35
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:09
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:05
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:10
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:09
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -17.79%E -5.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.05%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:10
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -21.59%E -6.96%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.88%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 00:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 12:25
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%4.4%2026-04-19 12:25