Language:English
Austria Wien v Sturm Graz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Austria Wien (Local)
Prediction 36.70%2.72fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.472%
Kelly -0.752%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.50%36.79%36.78%39.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.502.6943.48%40.64%40.00%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sturm Graz (Visit)
Prediction 33.15%3.02fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.470%
Kelly +0.698%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.15%33.02%33.19%34.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.782.803.0640.00%35.95%35.71%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.15%3.32fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.14%30.20%30.02%31.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.053.083.2437.04%32.74%32.47%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria Wien (Local): 36.70%; Sturm Graz (Visit): 33.15%; Draw: 30.15%. For Sturm Graz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.08%EV -5.67%E -2.21%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +1.44%E +0.470%K +0.698%G +0.010% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.21%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -7.15%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.21%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -7.15%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.96%EV -3.84%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.16%EV -3.20%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -2.32%E -0.717%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.68%EV -1.27%E -0.472%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.04%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.28%EV -4.43%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 15:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.53%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.81%EV -9.34%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.18%EV -9.17%E -3.35%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.01%EV -8.65%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%EV -12.65%E -5.31%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.79%EV -9.83%E -3.61%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 15:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.18%E -4.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -12.15%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.06%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -15.59%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -15.58%E -6.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -15.47%E -6.07%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -18.60%E -6.89%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -17.13%E -6.85%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.59%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |