La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Austria Wien v Sturm Graz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Austria Wien (Local)
Predicción 36.70%2.72momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.472%
Kelly -0.752%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.50%36.79%36.78%39.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.502.6943.48%40.64%40.00%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sturm Graz (Visitante)
Predicción 33.15%3.02momio equitativo
EV +1.44%
Ventaja +0.470%
Kelly +0.698%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.15%33.02%33.19%34.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.803.0640.00%35.95%35.71%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.15%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.717%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.14%30.20%30.02%31.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.053.083.2437.04%32.74%32.47%30.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.08%EV -5.67%E -2.21%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +1.44%E +0.470%K +0.698%G +0.010% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.21%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -7.15%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.21%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -7.15%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.96%EV -3.84%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.16%EV -3.20%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -2.32%E -0.717%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.68%EV -1.27%E -0.472%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.04%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.28%EV -4.43%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 15:53 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.53%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Suprabets | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.81%EV -9.34%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.18%EV -9.17%E -3.35%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.01%EV -8.65%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%EV -12.65%E -5.31%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.79%EV -9.83%E -3.61%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 15:33 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 15:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.18%E -4.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -12.15%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.06%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -15.59%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -15.58%E -6.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -15.47%E -6.07%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -18.60%E -6.89%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -17.13%E -6.85%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.59%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |