L’École des cotes

Austria Wien v Sturm Graz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Austria Wien (Local)

Prévision 36.70%2.72cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.472%
Kelly -0.752%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.50%36.79%36.78%39.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.462.502.6943.48%40.64%40.00%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sturm Graz (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.15%3.02cote équitable
EV +1.44%
Avantage +0.470%
Kelly +0.698%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.15%33.02%33.19%34.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.782.803.0640.00%35.95%35.71%32.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.15%3.32cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.717%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.14%30.20%30.02%31.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.053.083.2437.04%32.74%32.47%30.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.08%EV -5.67%E -2.21%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +1.44%E +0.470%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 09:40
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.21%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -7.15%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:15
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.21%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -7.15%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:15
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.96%EV -3.84%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.16%EV -3.20%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -2.32%E -0.717%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 15:35
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 15:15
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:39
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.68%EV -1.27%E -0.472%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.04%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.28%EV -4.43%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:55
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:55
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:53
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.53%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:15
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:20
Suprabets2.47I 40.49%NM 36.81%EV -9.34%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.18%EV -9.17%E -3.35%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.01%EV -8.65%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:34
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%EV -12.65%E -5.31%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.79%EV -9.83%E -3.61%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 15:33
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 15:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 15:10
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.18%E -4.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -12.15%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 15:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 15:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 15:15
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.06%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -15.59%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-15 15:40
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 15:15
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -15.58%E -6.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -15.47%E -6.07%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -18.60%E -6.89%K -10.94%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -17.13%E -6.85%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.59%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-15 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16%0.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75%3.2%2026-03-15 15:55