A Escola das Odds

Austria Wien v Sturm Graz

Início: 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Austria Wien (Local)

Previsão 36.70%2.72odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.472%
Kelly -0.752%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.50%36.79%36.78%39.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.462.502.6943.48%40.64%40.00%37.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sturm Graz (Visitante)

Previsão 33.15%3.02odd justa
EV +1.44%
Vantagem +0.470%
Kelly +0.698%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.15%33.02%33.19%34.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.782.803.0640.00%35.95%35.71%32.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.15%3.32odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -0.717%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.14%30.20%30.02%31.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.053.083.2437.04%32.74%32.47%30.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.08%EV -5.67%E -2.21%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +1.44%E +0.470%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 09:40
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.21%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -7.15%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:15
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.21%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -7.15%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:15
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.96%EV -3.84%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.16%EV -3.20%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -2.32%E -0.717%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 15:35
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 15:15
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:39
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.68%EV -1.27%E -0.472%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.04%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.28%EV -4.43%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:55
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:55
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:53
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.53%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:15
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:20
Suprabets2.47I 40.49%NM 36.81%EV -9.34%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.18%EV -9.17%E -3.35%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.01%EV -8.65%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:34
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%EV -12.65%E -5.31%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.79%EV -9.83%E -3.61%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 15:33
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 15:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 15:10
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.18%E -4.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -12.15%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 15:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 15:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 15:15
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.06%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -15.59%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-15 15:40
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 15:15
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -15.58%E -6.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -15.47%E -6.07%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -18.60%E -6.89%K -10.94%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -17.13%E -6.85%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.59%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-15 15:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16%0.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75%3.2%2026-03-15 15:55