مدرسة الاحتمالات

Austria Wien v Sturm Graz

البداية: 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Austria Wien (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.70%2.72السعر العادل
EV -1.27%
الأفضلية -0.472%
Kelly -0.752%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.50%36.79%36.78%39.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.462.502.6943.48%40.64%40.00%37.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sturm Graz (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.15%3.02السعر العادل
EV +1.44%
الأفضلية +0.470%
Kelly +0.698%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.15%33.02%33.19%34.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.782.803.0640.00%35.95%35.71%32.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.15%3.32السعر العادل
EV -2.32%
الأفضلية -0.717%
Kelly -1.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.14%30.20%30.02%31.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.053.083.2437.04%32.74%32.47%30.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.08%EV -5.67%E -2.21%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +1.44%E +0.470%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 09:40
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.21%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -7.15%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:15
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.21%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -7.15%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:15
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.96%EV -3.84%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.16%EV -3.20%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -2.32%E -0.717%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 15:35
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 15:15
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:39
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -14.48%E -6.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:30
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.68%EV -1.27%E -0.472%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.04%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.28%EV -4.43%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:55
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:55
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:53
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.53%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:15
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.04%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:20
Suprabets2.47I 40.49%NM 36.81%EV -9.34%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.18%EV -9.17%E -3.35%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.01%EV -8.65%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:34
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%EV -12.65%E -5.31%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.79%EV -9.83%E -3.61%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 15:33
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 15:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 15:10
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.18%E -4.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -12.15%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 15:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 15:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 15:15
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.06%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.03%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -15.59%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-15 15:40
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -9.56%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 15:15
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -15.58%E -6.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -15.47%E -6.07%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -18.60%E -6.89%K -10.94%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -17.13%E -6.85%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.59%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-15 15:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16%0.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75%3.2%2026-03-15 15:55