Школа коэффициентов

Melbourne Victory v Sydney FC

Начало: 2026-05-02 09:40 UTC

Итог: Melbourne Victory 0–1 Sydney FC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (10 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Melbourne Victory (Хозяева)

Прогноз 49.56%2.02справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.10%
Преимущество +0.538%
Kelly +1.06%
Рост +0.012%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.04

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.02%49.65%49.55%51.16%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.751.901.902.0457.14%52.71%52.63%49.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sydney FC (Гости)

Прогноз 25.16%3.97справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.635%
Преимущество +0.159%
Kelly +0.212%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.47%25.10%25.15%27.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.593.604.0031.25%27.86%27.78%25.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.28%3.96справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.66%
Преимущество -0.691%
Kelly -0.933%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.33%25.24%25.30%26.89%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.663.653.8531.25%27.33%27.40%25.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.02%EV +1.10%E +0.538%K +1.06%G +0.012%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 08:55
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -1.88%E -0.947%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 08:55
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:51
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:51
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.64%E -0.681%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 09:20
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.64%E -0.681%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 09:20
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.38%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.30%EV +0.132%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -3.42%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 09:30
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.86%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -2.66%E -0.691%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 09:30
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 09:35
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 09:35
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 09:35
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -16.98%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 08:51
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -16.98%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 08:51
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 09:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 09:21
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 09:15
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:15
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 09:19
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 09:20
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 09:05
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 09:05
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.41%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.96%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 09:35
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 09:15
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 09:35
Coolbet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -7.82%E -4.21%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV +0.635%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 09:31
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -7.82%E -4.21%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV +0.635%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 09:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 09:05
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.40%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 09:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -19.49%E -6.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 08:51
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.81%E -4.79%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:05
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -15.72%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -19.09%E -5.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-02 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.96%EV -11.29%E -6.31%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -10.69%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 09:14
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -13.27%E -7.58%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 09:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-05-02 09:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-02 09:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-02 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-02 09:25
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-05-02 09:26
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 49.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%2.6%2026-05-02 09:35