L’École des cotesMelbourne Victory v Sydney FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Melbourne Victory (Local)
Prévision 49.56%2.02cote équitable
EV +1.10%
Avantage +0.538%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.012%
avec la cote maximale 2.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.02%49.65%49.55%51.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.901.902.0457.14%52.71%52.63%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sydney FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.16%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.635%
Avantage +0.159%
Kelly +0.212%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.47%25.10%25.15%27.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.593.604.0031.25%27.86%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.28%3.96cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -0.691%
Kelly -0.933%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.33%25.24%25.30%26.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.663.653.8531.25%27.33%27.40%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.02%EV +1.10%E +0.538%K +1.06%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -1.88%E -0.947%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:51 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:51 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.64%E -0.681%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 09:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.64%E -0.681%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 09:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.38%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.30%EV +0.132%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -3.42%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 09:30 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.86%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -2.66%E -0.691%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 09:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -16.98%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 08:51 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -16.98%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 08:51 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 09:21 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 09:19 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 09:20 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.41%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.96%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -7.82%E -4.21%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV +0.635%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:31 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -7.82%E -4.21%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV +0.635%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.40%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -19.49%E -6.09%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 08:51 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.81%E -4.79%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -15.72%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -19.09%E -5.97%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.96%EV -11.29%E -6.31%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -10.69%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 09:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -13.27%E -7.58%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 09:26 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.98% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65% | 2.6% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |