La scuola delle quote

Melbourne Victory v Sydney FC

Inizio: 2026-05-02 09:40 UTC

Finale: Melbourne Victory 0–1 Sydney FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Melbourne Victory (Casa)

Previsione 49.56%2.02quota equa
EV +1.10%
Vantaggio +0.538%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescita +0.012%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.02%49.65%49.55%51.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.901.902.0457.14%52.71%52.63%49.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sydney FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.16%3.97quota equa
EV +0.635%
Vantaggio +0.159%
Kelly +0.212%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.47%25.10%25.15%27.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.593.604.0031.25%27.86%27.78%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.28%3.96quota equa
EV -2.66%
Vantaggio -0.691%
Kelly -0.933%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.33%25.24%25.30%26.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.663.653.8531.25%27.33%27.40%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.02%EV +1.10%E +0.538%K +1.06%G +0.012%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 08:55
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -1.88%E -0.947%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 08:55
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:51
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:51
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.64%E -0.681%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 09:20
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.64%E -0.681%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 09:20
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.38%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.30%EV +0.132%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -3.42%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 09:30
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.86%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -2.66%E -0.691%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 09:30
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 09:35
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 09:35
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 09:35
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -16.98%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 08:51
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -16.98%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 08:51
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 09:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 09:21
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 09:15
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:15
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 09:19
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 09:20
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 09:05
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 09:05
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.41%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.96%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 09:35
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 09:15
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 09:35
Coolbet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -7.82%E -4.21%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV +0.635%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 09:31
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -7.82%E -4.21%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV +0.635%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 09:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 09:05
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.40%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 09:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -19.49%E -6.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 08:51
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.81%E -4.79%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:05
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -15.72%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -19.09%E -5.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-02 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.96%EV -11.29%E -6.31%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -10.69%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 09:14
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -13.27%E -7.58%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 09:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-05-02 09:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-02 09:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-02 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-02 09:25
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-05-02 09:26
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 49.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%2.6%2026-05-02 09:35