La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Melbourne Victory v Sydney FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Melbourne Victory (Local)
Predicción 49.56%2.02momio equitativo
EV +1.10%
Ventaja +0.538%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.02%49.65%49.55%51.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.901.902.0457.14%52.71%52.63%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sydney FC (Visitante)
Predicción 25.16%3.97momio equitativo
EV +0.635%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.212%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.47%25.10%25.15%27.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.593.604.0031.25%27.86%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.28%3.96momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -0.691%
Kelly -0.933%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.33%25.24%25.30%26.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.663.653.8531.25%27.33%27.40%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.02%EV +1.10%E +0.538%K +1.06%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -1.88%E -0.947%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:51 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:51 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.64%E -0.681%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 09:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.64%E -0.681%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 09:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.38%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.30%EV +0.132%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -3.42%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 09:30 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.86%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -2.66%E -0.691%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 09:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -16.98%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 08:51 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -16.98%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 08:51 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 09:21 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 09:19 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 09:20 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.41%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.96%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -7.82%E -4.21%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV +0.635%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:31 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -7.82%E -4.21%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV +0.635%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.40%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -19.49%E -6.09%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 08:51 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.81%E -4.79%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -15.72%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -19.09%E -5.97%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.96%EV -11.29%E -6.31%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -10.69%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 09:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -13.27%E -7.58%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 09:26 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.98% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65% | 2.6% | 2026-05-02 09:35 |