مدرسة الاحتمالات

Melbourne Victory v Sydney FC

البداية: 2026-05-02 09:40 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Melbourne Victory 0–1 Sydney FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (10 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Melbourne Victory (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.56%2.02السعر العادل
EV +1.10%
الأفضلية +0.538%
Kelly +1.06%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.02%49.65%49.55%51.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.901.902.0457.14%52.71%52.63%49.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sydney FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.16%3.97السعر العادل
EV +0.635%
الأفضلية +0.159%
Kelly +0.212%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.47%25.10%25.15%27.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.593.604.0031.25%27.86%27.78%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.28%3.96السعر العادل
EV -2.66%
الأفضلية -0.691%
Kelly -0.933%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.33%25.24%25.30%26.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.663.653.8531.25%27.33%27.40%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.02%EV +1.10%E +0.538%K +1.06%G +0.012%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 08:55
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -1.88%E -0.947%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 08:55
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:51
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:51
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 08:55
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.64%E -0.681%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 09:20
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.64%E -0.681%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 09:20
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.38%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.30%EV +0.132%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -3.42%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 09:30
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.86%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -2.66%E -0.691%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 09:30
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 09:35
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 09:35
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 09:35
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -16.98%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 08:51
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -16.98%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 08:51
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 09:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 09:21
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 09:15
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:15
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 09:19
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 09:20
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 09:05
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 09:05
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.41%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.96%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 09:35
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 09:15
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 09:35
Coolbet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -7.82%E -4.21%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV +0.635%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 09:31
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -7.82%E -4.21%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV +0.635%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 09:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 09:05
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.40%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 09:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:35
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -19.49%E -6.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 08:51
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.81%E -4.79%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:05
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -15.72%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -10.24%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -19.09%E -5.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-02 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.96%EV -11.29%E -6.31%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -10.69%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 09:14
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -13.27%E -7.58%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 09:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-05-02 09:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-02 09:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-02 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-02 09:25
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-05-02 09:26
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 49.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%2.6%2026-05-02 09:35