La scuola delle quote

Melbourne Victory v Macarthur FC

Inizio: 2026-03-15 08:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Melbourne Victory (Casa)

Previsione 47.89%2.09quota equa
EV -1.34%
Vantaggio -0.650%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.02%47.78%47.93%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.911.912.0657.14%52.38%52.36%48.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Macarthur FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.60%3.62quota equa
EV +6.25%
Vantaggio +1.62%
Kelly +2.19%
Crescita +0.137%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.69%27.66%27.56%29.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.463.423.8533.33%28.89%29.20%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.51%4.08quota equa
EV -1.96%
Vantaggio -0.490%
Kelly -0.653%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.06%24.56%24.51%25.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.813.804.0030.77%26.25%26.32%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -11.40%E -6.16%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV +6.25%E +1.62%K +2.19%G +0.137%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 07:45
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 07:45
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -12.83%E -7.05%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -16.19%E -9.25%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV +0.727%E +0.199%K +0.274%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 07:45
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -16.19%E -9.25%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV +0.727%E +0.199%K +0.274%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 07:45
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 49.86%EV -9.48%E -5.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.40%EV -1.48%E -0.415%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.74%EV -2.69%E -0.679%K -0.907%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 07:35
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.03%E -0.572%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 07:25
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.03%E -0.572%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.74%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 07:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.46%EV -2.30%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -4.24%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV -3.67%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 07:35
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 07:45
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 07:45
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 07:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 07:55
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 07:55
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 07:55
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.00%E -4.74%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Coolbet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.60%EV -1.34%E -0.650%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 07:50
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 07:55
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 07:45
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:45
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -9.96%E -5.30%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 07:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 07:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -9.00%E -4.74%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:40
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 07:55
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:55
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -13.79%E -7.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -12.83%E -7.05%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.07%E -4.15%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 07:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -17.21%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -20.34%E -6.26%K -9.04%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-15 07:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-03-15 07:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.0%2026-03-15 07:55